Editorial - an unmissable chance

Editorial: Neurotechnology: An Engineering Perspective

Give chance a chance

How did I get to become a cell biologist? Or, more generally, why do things happen the way they do? The answer provided by the philosopher Democritus and later adopted by Jacques Monod is "everything existing in the universe is the fruit of chance and necessity." While I read Monod's book Chance and Necessity as an undergraduate student, little did I appreciate the accuracy of this citation and...

What Is the Chance of an Earthquake?

What is the chance that an earthquake of magnitude 6.7 or greater will occur before the year 2030 in the San Francisco Bay Area? The U.S. Geological Survey estimated the chance to be 0.7 ± 0.1 (USGS, 1999). In this paper, we try to interpret such probabilities. Making sense of earthquake forecasts is surprisingly difficult. In part, this is because the forecasts are based on a complicated mixtu...

editorial: neurotechnology: an engineering perspective

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RAO*: An Algorithm for Chance-Constrained POMDP's

Autonomous agents operating in partially observable stochastic environments often face the problem of optimizing expected performance while bounding the risk of violating safety constraints. Such problems can be modeled as chance-constrained POMDP’s (CCPOMDP’s). Our first contribution is a systematic derivation of execution risk in POMDP domains, which improves upon how chance constraints are h...